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Red58
46388.8
907221.0
405016.3
Blue24
511512.2
18855.7
83628.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4159020801001205824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9072
#10
21.00.9
20.021.0
Auto7.4
Teleop14.6
End-1.1
blue by 7.9
836
#4
28.82.5
30.628.0
Auto11.1
Teleop12.5
End5.2
Second
16.30.9
13.114.0
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End1.4
red by 4.1
5115
#26
12.22.5
16.714.2
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End1.5
Third
4638
#17
8.80.9
6.97.8
Auto4.9
Teleop3.2
End0.7
red by 3.1
5.72.5
4.62.0
Auto1.4
Teleop4.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsEarned