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Red43
68620.4
99991.5
374817.6
Blue52
172729.1
77704.4
162925.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4475020601001201404352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#24
20.40.3
19.619.9
Auto9.7
Teleop8.7
End2.0
blue by 8.8
1727
#19
29.11.2
35.133.9
Auto8.1
Teleop20.0
End1.0
Second
3748
#18
17.60.3
17.417.7
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End1.4
blue by 7.4
25.01.2
24.523.3
Auto14.5
Teleop10.2
End0.3
Third
9999
#27
1.50.5
1.31.8
Auto2.6
Teleop-2.2
End1.1
blue by 3.0
7770
#12
4.41.2
5.24.0
Auto1.4
Teleop2.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed77%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed