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Red37
237719.8
46388.8
19157.2
Blue27
6124.4
511512.2
86228.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372901020506070803727

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.3
18.518.7
Auto4.4
Teleop10.8
End4.7
red by 7.6
5115
#26
12.20.4
14.213.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End1.5
Second
4638
#17
8.80.3
7.88.1
Auto4.9
Teleop3.2
End0.7
blue by 0.1
8622
#15
8.90.4
7.26.8
Auto4.6
Teleop3.3
End1.0
Third
1915
#22
7.20.3
6.66.8
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End-0.2
red by 2.8
612
#28
4.40.4
6.15.8
Auto2.2
Teleop0.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed