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Red23
511512.2
872616.9
62312.9
Blue23
172729.1
219915.8
86228.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51710204060801001201402323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.9
Auto7.1
Teleop7.0
End2.7
blue by 12.3
1727
#19
29.1
Auto8.1
Teleop20.0
End1.0
Second
623
#7
12.9
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End2.7
blue by 2.9
2199
#20
15.8
Auto8.1
Teleop7.2
End0.5
Third
5115
#26
12.2
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End1.5
red by 3.4
8622
#15
8.9
Auto4.6
Teleop3.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed52%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed