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Red39
533828.1
99991.5
18855.7
Blue27
409915.4
68620.4
46388.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475602040801001203927

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.3
29.429.1
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End2.2
red by 7.7
686
#24
20.41.6
22.821.2
Auto9.7
Teleop8.7
End2.0
Second
5.70.3
4.03.7
Auto1.4
Teleop4.2
End0.1
blue by 9.8
4099
#16
15.41.6
17.716.0
Auto6.4
Teleop8.7
End0.3
Third
9999
#27
1.50.5
5.34.8
Auto2.6
Teleop-2.2
End1.1
blue by 7.3
4638
#17
8.81.6
9.17.5
Auto4.9
Teleop3.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed