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Red46
62312.9
374817.6
409915.4
Blue77
872616.9
237719.8
83628.8
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4674020601001201404677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3748
#18
17.60.0
17.717.8
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End1.4
blue by 11.2
836
#4
28.80.5
26.727.2
Auto11.1
Teleop12.5
End5.2
Second
4099
#16
15.40.0
14.514.5
Auto6.4
Teleop8.7
End0.3
blue by 4.4
19.80.5
18.719.3
Auto4.4
Teleop10.8
End4.7
Third
623
#7
12.90.0
13.413.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End2.7
blue by 3.9
16.90.5
18.419.0
Auto7.1
Teleop7.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed82%Ensemble oddsEarned