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Red26
25379.7
511512.2
77704.4
Blue53
88822.5
171910.2
46388.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234804060801002653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5115
#26
12.20.1
12.312.4
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End1.5
blue by 10.3
888
#9
22.50.2
22.222.1
Auto8.4
Teleop11.6
End2.4
Second
2537
#25
9.70.1
7.67.7
Auto5.6
Teleop2.7
End1.4
blue by 0.5
1719
#23
10.20.2
10.610.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.7
End2.6
Third
7770
#12
4.40.1
4.34.4
Auto1.4
Teleop2.4
End0.6
blue by 4.3
4638
#17
8.80.2
8.58.4
Auto4.9
Teleop3.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed