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Red45
219915.8
45058.3
6124.4
Blue41
99991.5
907221.0
19157.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283602060801001201401604541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
#20
15.80.6
14.915.5
Auto8.1
Teleop7.2
End0.5
blue by 5.1
9072
#10
21.00.0
19.819.7
Auto7.4
Teleop14.6
End-1.1
Second
4505
#21
8.30.6
7.37.9
Auto4.5
Teleop3.4
End0.4
red by 1.1
1915
#22
7.20.0
7.27.2
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End-0.2
Third
612
#28
4.40.6
3.84.4
Auto2.2
Teleop0.6
End1.5
red by 2.9
9999
#27
1.50.0
-0.5-0.6
Auto2.6
Teleop-2.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed