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Red45
83628.8
45756.0
172729.1
Blue22
6124.4
171910.2
25379.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102200501504522

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1727
#19
29.12.6
38.235.6
Auto8.1
Teleop20.0
End1.0
red by 18.9
1719
#23
10.20.4
10.810.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.7
End2.6
Second
836
#4
28.82.6
34.231.6
Auto11.1
Teleop12.5
End5.2
red by 19.1
2537
#25
9.70.4
10.19.7
Auto5.6
Teleop2.7
End1.4
Third
4575
#11
6.02.6
9.56.9
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End0.2
red by 1.6
612
#28
4.40.4
7.16.7
Auto2.2
Teleop0.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
59%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed