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Red16
99984.0
88822.5
99991.5
Blue29
86228.9
62312.9
68620.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44490102030406070801629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#9
22.51.6
24.923.3
Auto8.4
Teleop11.6
End2.4
red by 2.1
686
#24
20.41.0
21.220.2
Auto9.7
Teleop8.7
End2.0
Second
9998
#14
4.02.6
4.62.0
Auto0.7
Teleop3.6
End-0.1
blue by 8.9
623
#7
12.91.0
13.912.9
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End2.7
Third
9999
#27
1.52.6
4.82.2
Auto2.6
Teleop-2.2
End1.1
blue by 7.4
8622
#15
8.91.0
8.87.8
Auto4.6
Teleop3.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed