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Red36
58418.2
171910.4
62138.3
Blue45
859222.8
632618.6
37937.4
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28560204060803645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1719
#25
10.40.5
9.810.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End1.4
blue by 12.4
22.80.1
19.719.6
Auto7.0
Teleop13.4
End2.4
Second
6213
#20
8.30.5
8.99.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End0.4
blue by 10.3
18.60.1
16.816.6
Auto8.3
Teleop8.0
End2.3
Third
5841
#34
8.20.5
10.010.5
Auto5.7
Teleop2.0
End0.5
red by 0.8
3793
#29
7.40.1
10.510.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed