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Red44
253711.7
237716.5
86228.8
Blue44
58308.8
88820.6
61419.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365102060804444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.5
Auto6.4
Teleop9.0
End1.2
blue by 4.1
888
#10
20.6
Auto9.2
Teleop10.1
End1.2
Second
2537
#28
11.7
Auto7.7
Teleop2.6
End1.4
blue by 7.7
614
#13
19.5
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End1.0
Third
8622
#30
8.8
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End1.2
Level
5830
#22
8.8
Auto4.1
Teleop3.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed