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Red50
686313.0
872618.3
138913.6
Blue67
83624.6
511515.5
77708.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39482060805067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8726
#16
18.30.8
13.814.6
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End2.3
blue by 6.3
836
#4
24.61.0
16.917.9
Auto12.7
Teleop9.4
End2.5
Second
1389
#19
13.60.8
14.215.0
Auto3.0
Teleop8.4
End2.3
blue by 1.9
15.51.0
17.518.5
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End1.9
Third
6863
#24
13.00.8
8.29.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End1.6
red by 4.9
7770
#15
8.01.0
7.98.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsEarned