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Red116
44936.2
62138.3
172735.7
Blue10
85145.8
44644.5
28497.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721302040608010012014011610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#2
36.21.9
23.625.5
Auto16.8
Teleop17.2
End2.2
red by 28.3
2849
#21
7.90.7
9.48.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End0.8
Second
35.71.9
27.329.2
Auto12.4
Teleop22.3
End1.0
red by 29.9
8514
#23
5.80.7
5.75.0
Auto3.4
Teleop1.8
End0.6
Third
6213
#20
8.31.9
7.08.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End0.4
red by 3.7
4464
#33
4.50.7
3.42.7
Auto1.4
Teleop2.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed