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Red48
11116.8
859222.8
28497.9
Blue22
78863.0
686313.0
37937.4
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45190103040506070804822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.0
18.818.8
Auto7.0
Teleop13.4
End2.4
red by 9.8
6863
#24
13.00.1
8.18.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End1.6
Second
2849
#21
7.90.0
9.49.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End0.8
red by 0.5
3793
#29
7.40.1
9.49.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End0.4
Third
1111
#27
6.80.0
9.29.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End1.3
red by 3.8
7886
#31
3.00.1
2.52.6
Auto1.8
Teleop0.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed