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Red47
511515.5
632618.6
62138.3
Blue34
409922.5
46389.1
29148.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48310204060801004734

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.60.5
16.315.8
Auto8.3
Teleop8.0
End2.3
blue by 3.9
4099
#12
22.50.0
17.017.0
Auto8.9
Teleop13.0
End0.7
Second
15.50.4
17.917.5
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End1.9
red by 6.4
4638
#26
9.10.0
8.78.6
Auto5.4
Teleop2.7
End1.0
Third
6213
#20
8.30.4
7.47.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End0.4
blue by 0.4
2914
#32
8.70.0
4.54.5
Auto2.6
Teleop5.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed