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Red33
237716.5
511515.5
11116.8
Blue22
37937.4
86228.8
28497.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49270204060801003322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.51.6
16.414.8
Auto6.4
Teleop9.0
End1.2
red by 7.7
8622
#30
8.80.7
8.98.2
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End1.2
Second
15.51.6
18.216.6
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End1.9
red by 7.5
2849
#21
7.90.7
8.27.5
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End0.8
Third
1111
#27
6.81.6
7.55.8
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End1.3
blue by 0.7
3793
#29
7.40.7
10.29.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed