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Red40
138913.6
859222.8
58308.8
Blue74
58418.2
83624.6
68628.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436802060801001201404074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.3
20.920.6
Auto7.0
Teleop13.4
End2.4
blue by 5.6
686
#11
28.41.0
27.428.4
Auto14.4
Teleop13.2
End0.8
Second
1389
#19
13.60.3
16.015.8
Auto3.0
Teleop8.4
End2.3
blue by 10.9
836
#4
24.61.0
20.921.9
Auto12.7
Teleop9.4
End2.5
Third
5830
#22
8.80.3
4.94.7
Auto4.1
Teleop3.6
End1.1
red by 0.6
5841
#34
8.21.0
10.611.6
Auto5.7
Teleop2.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed