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Red61
171910.4
632618.6
872618.3
Blue76
454121.1
77708.0
907232.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46710204060801001206176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.61.1
16.817.9
Auto8.3
Teleop8.0
End2.3
blue by 14.1
32.70.8
32.933.7
Auto14.1
Teleop18.1
End0.5
Second
8726
#16
18.31.1
15.516.6
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End2.3
blue by 2.8
4541
#14
21.10.8
20.120.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End1.4
Third
1719
#25
10.41.1
12.513.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End1.4
red by 2.3
7770
#15
8.00.8
8.49.3
Auto2.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed