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Red51
68628.4
46389.1
253711.7
Blue24
58418.2
374818.8
138913.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57502040801005124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#11
28.40.1
28.428.3
Auto14.4
Teleop13.2
End0.8
red by 9.6
18.81.5
18.917.4
Auto9.1
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Second
2537
#28
11.70.1
12.011.9
Auto7.7
Teleop2.6
End1.4
blue by 1.9
1389
#19
13.61.5
15.814.3
Auto3.0
Teleop8.4
End2.3
Third
4638
#26
9.10.1
10.210.1
Auto5.4
Teleop2.7
End1.0
red by 0.9
5841
#34
8.21.5
11.610.1
Auto5.7
Teleop2.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed