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Red31
907232.7
171910.4
78863.0
Blue79
253417.2
44936.2
86228.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56552040801003179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.71.3
33.732.4
Auto14.1
Teleop18.1
End0.5
blue by 3.5
449
#2
36.21.6
29.230.8
Auto16.8
Teleop17.2
End2.2
Second
1719
#25
10.41.3
13.612.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End1.4
blue by 6.9
2534
#18
17.21.6
12.714.3
Auto8.0
Teleop7.1
End2.2
Third
7886
#31
3.01.3
3.52.2
Auto1.8
Teleop0.1
End1.0
blue by 5.9
8622
#30
8.81.6
8.29.8
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed