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Red26
686313.0
29148.7
86228.8
Blue47
37937.4
172735.7
171910.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26660204060801001202647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6863
#24
13.00.1
11.111.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End1.6
blue by 22.7
35.71.2
33.131.9
Auto12.4
Teleop22.3
End1.0
Second
8622
#30
8.80.1
9.89.6
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End1.2
blue by 1.6
1719
#25
10.41.2
12.311.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End1.4
Third
2914
#32
8.70.1
7.37.1
Auto2.6
Teleop5.3
End0.8
red by 1.3
3793
#29
7.41.2
9.68.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed