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Red46
44936.2
78863.0
253711.7
Blue57
68628.4
511515.5
58308.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485702040801001201404657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#2
36.20.4
30.830.4
Auto16.8
Teleop17.2
End2.2
red by 7.8
686
#11
28.40.4
28.328.8
Auto14.4
Teleop13.2
End0.8
Second
2537
#28
11.70.4
11.911.5
Auto7.7
Teleop2.6
End1.4
blue by 3.7
15.50.4
16.917.3
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End1.9
Third
7886
#31
3.00.4
2.21.8
Auto1.8
Teleop0.1
End1.0
blue by 5.8
5830
#22
8.80.4
5.45.8
Auto4.1
Teleop3.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed