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Red74
28497.9
907232.7
374818.8
Blue19
77708.0
632618.6
44644.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68280204060801001207419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.7
32.433.1
Auto14.1
Teleop18.1
End0.5
red by 14.1
18.61.1
17.316.2
Auto8.3
Teleop8.0
End2.3
Second
18.80.7
17.418.1
Auto9.1
Teleop8.2
End1.5
red by 10.8
7770
#15
8.01.1
10.19.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Third
2849
#21
7.90.7
7.17.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End0.8
red by 3.4
4464
#33
4.51.1
2.91.9
Auto1.4
Teleop2.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed