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Red27
46389.1
86228.8
171910.4
Blue83
172735.7
28497.9
450511.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305902040801002783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1719
#25
10.40.3
11.110.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End1.4
blue by 25.3
35.71.0
31.932.9
Auto12.4
Teleop22.3
End1.0
Second
4638
#26
9.10.3
10.19.8
Auto5.4
Teleop2.7
End1.0
blue by 2.6
4505
#17
11.71.0
10.611.7
Auto5.8
Teleop5.3
End0.7
Third
8622
#30
8.80.3
9.69.4
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End1.2
red by 0.9
2849
#21
7.91.0
7.88.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned