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Red52
61419.5
409922.5
454121.1
Blue69
253711.7
83624.6
29148.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684202060801001205269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#12
22.50.4
19.419.0
Auto8.9
Teleop13.0
End0.7
blue by 2.0
836
#4
24.61.2
22.523.7
Auto12.7
Teleop9.4
End2.5
Second
4541
#14
21.10.4
20.620.1
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End1.4
red by 9.3
2537
#28
11.71.2
11.512.7
Auto7.7
Teleop2.6
End1.4
Third
614
#13
19.50.4
18.718.3
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End1.0
red by 10.7
2914
#32
8.71.2
7.18.3
Auto2.6
Teleop5.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed