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Red44
253417.2
872618.3
58418.2
Blue49
44644.5
686313.0
859222.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46350204060801004449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8726
#16
18.30.3
17.417.7
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End2.3
blue by 4.5
22.80.7
20.921.6
Auto7.0
Teleop13.4
End2.4
Second
2534
#18
17.20.3
13.613.8
Auto8.0
Teleop7.1
End2.2
red by 4.2
6863
#24
13.00.7
10.311.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End1.6
Third
5841
#34
8.20.3
9.19.3
Auto5.7
Teleop2.0
End0.5
red by 3.7
4464
#33
4.50.7
1.92.6
Auto1.4
Teleop2.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed