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Red80
237716.5
253417.2
83624.6
Blue37
253711.7
859222.8
171910.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58492040801008037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#4
24.61.6
23.725.3
Auto12.7
Teleop9.4
End2.5
red by 1.8
22.80.5
21.621.1
Auto7.0
Teleop13.4
End2.4
Second
2534
#18
17.21.6
13.815.4
Auto8.0
Teleop7.1
End2.2
red by 5.5
2537
#28
11.70.5
12.712.1
Auto7.7
Teleop2.6
End1.4
Third
16.51.6
14.015.5
Auto6.4
Teleop9.0
End1.2
red by 6.1
1719
#25
10.40.5
10.810.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed