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Red45
88820.6
37937.4
46389.1
Blue42
28497.9
68628.4
77708.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42542060801004542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#10
20.60.0
21.321.3
Auto9.2
Teleop10.1
End1.2
blue by 7.8
686
#11
28.40.9
28.827.9
Auto14.4
Teleop13.2
End0.8
Second
4638
#26
9.10.0
10.710.7
Auto5.4
Teleop2.7
End1.0
red by 1.1
7770
#15
8.00.9
9.88.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Third
3793
#29
7.40.0
7.37.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End0.4
blue by 0.5
2849
#21
7.90.9
8.87.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed