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Red35
86228.8
138913.6
85145.8
Blue67
454121.1
872618.3
62138.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27540204060801003567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1389
#19
13.60.2
12.712.5
Auto3.0
Teleop8.4
End2.3
blue by 7.4
4541
#14
21.10.7
20.120.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End1.4
Second
8622
#30
8.80.2
9.49.2
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End1.2
blue by 9.5
8726
#16
18.30.7
17.718.4
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End2.3
Third
8514
#23
5.80.2
5.85.6
Auto3.4
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 2.5
6213
#20
8.30.7
8.18.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed