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Red55
44644.5
172735.7
29148.7
Blue72
58308.8
907232.7
409922.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46660204060801001205572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.7
33.033.8
Auto12.4
Teleop22.3
End1.0
red by 3.0
32.70.3
32.232.5
Auto14.1
Teleop18.1
End0.5
Second
2914
#32
8.70.7
8.39.0
Auto2.6
Teleop5.3
End0.8
blue by 13.8
4099
#12
22.50.3
19.019.3
Auto8.9
Teleop13.0
End0.7
Third
4464
#33
4.50.7
2.63.3
Auto1.4
Teleop2.3
End0.8
blue by 4.3
5830
#22
8.80.3
6.16.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed