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Red28
511515.5
78863.0
85145.8
Blue23
58418.2
11116.8
253711.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263001020405060702823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.50.1
16.416.3
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End1.9
red by 3.7
2537
#28
11.70.2
12.111.9
Auto7.7
Teleop2.6
End1.4
Second
8514
#23
5.80.1
5.65.6
Auto3.4
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 2.4
5841
#34
8.20.2
9.39.1
Auto5.7
Teleop2.0
End0.5
Third
7886
#31
3.00.1
1.81.8
Auto1.8
Teleop0.1
End1.0
blue by 3.8
1111
#27
6.80.2
5.35.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed