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Red46
86228.8
172735.7
77708.0
Blue50
46389.1
859222.8
83624.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5664203040507080901004650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.4
33.833.4
Auto12.4
Teleop22.3
End1.0
red by 11.1
836
#4
24.60.5
25.324.8
Auto12.7
Teleop9.4
End2.5
Second
8622
#30
8.80.4
9.28.8
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End1.2
blue by 14.0
22.80.5
21.120.6
Auto7.0
Teleop13.4
End2.4
Third
7770
#15
8.00.4
8.98.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
blue by 1.1
4638
#26
9.10.5
10.710.2
Auto5.4
Teleop2.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed