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Red51
450511.7
37937.4
454121.1
Blue65
44936.2
58308.8
44644.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45463540505560655165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4541
#14
21.10.1
20.920.8
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End1.4
blue by 15.1
449
#2
36.21.6
31.833.3
Auto16.8
Teleop17.2
End2.2
Second
4505
#17
11.70.1
12.712.6
Auto5.8
Teleop5.3
End0.7
red by 3.0
5830
#22
8.81.6
6.48.0
Auto4.1
Teleop3.6
End1.1
Third
3793
#29
7.40.1
7.47.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End0.4
red by 2.9
4464
#33
4.51.6
3.34.9
Auto1.4
Teleop2.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed