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Red43
253711.7
253417.2
37937.4
Blue55
872618.3
83624.6
78863.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32342530404550554355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2534
#18
17.20.9
8.99.8
Auto8.0
Teleop7.1
End2.2
blue by 7.3
836
#4
24.61.3
15.616.9
Auto12.7
Teleop9.4
End2.5
Second
2537
#28
11.71.0
10.811.8
Auto7.7
Teleop2.6
End1.4
blue by 6.5
8726
#16
18.31.3
12.513.8
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End2.3
Third
3793
#29
7.40.9
9.610.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End0.4
red by 4.5
7886
#31
3.01.3
2.63.9
Auto1.8
Teleop0.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned