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Red65
409922.5
374818.8
859222.8
Blue24
454121.1
86228.8
11116.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5939020801006524

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.9
18.819.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.4
End2.4
red by 1.7
4541
#14
21.10.9
20.019.0
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End1.4
Second
4099
#12
22.50.9
17.017.9
Auto8.9
Teleop13.0
End0.7
red by 13.7
8622
#30
8.80.9
8.67.7
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End1.2
Third
18.80.9
15.416.3
Auto9.1
Teleop8.2
End1.5
red by 12.1
1111
#27
6.80.9
9.38.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed