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Red58
511515.5
88820.6
872618.3
Blue16
28497.9
58418.2
78863.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69130204060801001205816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#10
20.60.5
21.320.8
Auto9.2
Teleop10.1
End1.2
red by 12.4
5841
#34
8.20.2
9.18.9
Auto5.7
Teleop2.0
End0.5
Second
8726
#16
18.30.5
18.417.9
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End2.3
red by 10.3
2849
#21
7.90.2
7.97.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End0.8
Third
15.50.5
16.315.8
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End1.9
red by 12.5
7886
#31
3.00.2
1.81.6
Auto1.8
Teleop0.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed