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Red79
253417.2
61419.5
907232.7
Blue26
138913.6
11116.8
29148.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8221040601001201407926

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.5
32.532.9
Auto14.1
Teleop18.1
End0.5
red by 19.1
1389
#19
13.60.4
12.512.1
Auto3.0
Teleop8.4
End2.3
Second
614
#13
19.50.5
19.319.7
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End1.0
red by 10.7
2914
#32
8.70.4
9.08.7
Auto2.6
Teleop5.3
End0.8
Third
2534
#18
17.20.5
15.415.9
Auto8.0
Teleop7.1
End2.2
red by 10.4
1111
#27
6.80.4
5.04.7
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed