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Red23
29148.7
77708.0
58418.2
Blue54
138913.6
78863.0
409922.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2738010205060702354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2914
#32
8.70.7
8.78.0
Auto2.6
Teleop5.3
End0.8
blue by 13.8
4099
#12
22.51.4
19.621.0
Auto8.9
Teleop13.0
End0.7
Second
5841
#34
8.20.7
8.98.2
Auto5.7
Teleop2.0
End0.5
blue by 5.4
1389
#19
13.61.4
12.113.5
Auto3.0
Teleop8.4
End2.3
Third
7770
#15
8.00.7
8.67.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
red by 5.1
7886
#31
3.01.4
1.63.0
Auto1.8
Teleop0.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed