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Red45
237716.5
68628.4
44644.5
Blue59
632618.6
86228.8
61419.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575002040801001201404559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#11
28.40.4
28.327.9
Auto14.4
Teleop13.2
End0.8
red by 8.9
614
#13
19.50.5
19.719.2
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End1.0
Second
16.50.4
17.216.9
Auto6.4
Teleop9.0
End1.2
blue by 2.1
18.60.5
17.517.0
Auto8.3
Teleop8.0
End2.3
Third
4464
#33
4.50.4
4.94.5
Auto1.4
Teleop2.3
End0.8
blue by 4.3
8622
#30
8.80.5
8.88.3
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned