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Red86
11116.8
632618.6
409922.5
Blue41
237716.5
58308.8
88820.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4753204060801008641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#12
22.50.9
21.021.9
Auto8.9
Teleop13.0
End0.7
red by 1.9
888
#10
20.60.1
21.020.9
Auto9.2
Teleop10.1
End1.2
Second
18.60.9
17.017.9
Auto8.3
Teleop8.0
End2.3
red by 2.1
16.50.1
16.916.7
Auto6.4
Teleop9.0
End1.2
Third
1111
#27
6.80.9
5.26.1
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End1.3
blue by 2.0
5830
#22
8.80.1
9.29.0
Auto4.1
Teleop3.6
End1.1