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Red76
253711.7
907232.7
83624.6
Blue65
454121.1
138913.6
374818.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8355020401001201407665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.1
33.533.6
Auto14.1
Teleop18.1
End0.5
red by 11.6
4541
#14
21.10.3
20.921.2
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End1.4
Second
836
#4
24.60.1
25.425.4
Auto12.7
Teleop9.4
End2.5
red by 5.7
18.80.3
18.719.0
Auto9.1
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Third
2537
#28
11.70.1
12.512.6
Auto7.7
Teleop2.6
End1.4
blue by 1.9
1389
#19
13.60.3
13.513.8
Auto3.0
Teleop8.4
End2.3