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Red66
86228.8
68628.4
859222.8
Blue52
61419.5
511515.5
450511.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67480204060801001201406652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#11
28.40.1
27.928.0
Auto14.4
Teleop13.2
End0.8
red by 8.9
614
#13
19.50.1
19.219.2
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End1.0
Second
22.80.1
22.322.4
Auto7.0
Teleop13.4
End2.4
red by 7.3
15.50.1
15.215.1
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End1.9
Third
8622
#30
8.80.1
8.38.5
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End1.2
blue by 2.9
4505
#17
11.70.1
11.411.3
Auto5.8
Teleop5.3
End0.7