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Red24
44642.6
11119.2
88822.3
Blue105
162933.9
454119.8
172727.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347202040608010012024105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#10
22.32.0
16.114.1
Auto10.0
Teleop10.9
End1.4
blue by 11.6
33.91.2
26.327.5
Auto13.9
Teleop18.6
End1.4
Second
1111
#31
9.22.0
12.610.6
Auto4.8
Teleop3.1
End1.3
blue by 17.9
27.12.0
19.821.7
Auto11.6
Teleop14.7
End0.8
Third
4464
#36
2.62.0
6.24.2
Auto0.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
blue by 17.2
19.82.0
14.116.1
Auto7.1
Teleop11.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned