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Red60
445617.5
29005.2
872612.5
Blue12
77707.2
14466.9
28499.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343520304050606012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.51.3
12.013.2
Auto9.4
Teleop5.7
End2.5
red by 8.1
2849
#24
9.42.2
11.19.0
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Second
8726
#13
12.52.1
10.612.7
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End1.1
red by 5.3
7770
#28
7.22.2
9.47.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
Third
2900
#25
5.22.1
8.310.4
Auto3.1
Teleop1.1
End1.0
blue by 1.7
1446
#27DQ
6.92.2
11.29.0
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed