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Red17
78862.5
237715.4
632616.3
Blue33
37939.4
832615.7
52435.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332910152025354045501733

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6326
#19
16.31.4
14.312.9
Auto7.4
Teleop6.8
End2.1
red by 0.5
8326
#12
15.70.0
13.313.3
Auto7.3
Teleop6.4
End2.1
Second
2377
#16
15.41.4
10.49.0
Auto6.7
Teleop7.3
End1.3
red by 5.9
3793
#32
9.40.1
9.59.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End0.6
Third
7886
#23DQ
2.51.4
4.83.4
Auto1.2
Teleop1.1
End0.2
blue by 2.7
5243
#30
5.30.1
3.93.8
Auto1.7
Teleop3.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed