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Red40
374815.2
29005.2
190814.9
Blue29
52435.3
237715.4
454119.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403301001502002504029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3748
#15
15.21.1
15.314.2
Auto6.2
Teleop7.5
End1.4
blue by 4.6
19.80.2
17.817.6
Auto7.1
Teleop11.4
End1.3
Second
14.90.7
12.211.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End1.5
blue by 0.5
2377
#16
15.40.2
9.08.8
Auto6.7
Teleop7.3
End1.3
Third
2900
#25
5.21.1
7.76.6
Auto3.1
Teleop1.1
End1.0
blue by 0.1
5243
#30
5.30.2
3.83.7
Auto1.7
Teleop3.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed