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Red46
872612.5
511517.9
61415.7
Blue34
77707.2
172727.1
86229.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43380102030506070804634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.90.9
13.114.0
Auto7.5
Teleop9.0
End1.3
blue by 9.2
27.10.1
23.523.4
Auto11.6
Teleop14.7
End0.8
Second
614
#3
15.70.9
12.913.8
Auto8.4
Teleop6.0
End1.3
red by 5.9
8622
#33
9.80.1
6.86.7
Auto6.0
Teleop2.8
End1.0
Third
8726
#13
12.50.9
11.912.8
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End1.1
red by 5.3
7770
#28
7.20.1
4.54.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed