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Red21
253710.8
62137.4
219913.9
Blue34
445617.5
44642.6
138913.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423102060802134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.91.0
11.810.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End1.0
blue by 3.6
17.50.3
14.314.6
Auto9.4
Teleop5.7
End2.5
Second
2537
#26
10.81.7
14.412.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 2.8
1389
#18
13.50.5
11.612.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Third
6213
#20
7.41.7
10.38.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End0.5
red by 4.8
4464
#36
2.60.5
3.33.9
Auto0.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned