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Red43
88822.3
85143.6
46388.7
Blue50
28499.4
68622.5
632616.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2840010205060704350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#10
22.31.8
12.814.6
Auto10.0
Teleop10.9
End1.4
blue by 0.2
686
#11
22.51.7
14.015.7
Auto11.3
Teleop10.7
End0.4
Second
4638
#35
8.71.8
7.89.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End1.2
blue by 7.6
6326
#19
16.31.7
12.914.6
Auto7.4
Teleop6.8
End2.1
Third
8514
#34
3.61.8
6.38.1
Auto3.6
Teleop-0.5
End0.4
blue by 5.8
2849
#24
9.41.7
7.69.3
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed